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Red120
401335.0
32130.8
10019.9
Blue145
252257.2
331446.8
26926.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66133050100150200250120145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#37
35.02.0
32.935.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 22.2
2522
#19
57.20.9
56.357.2
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
321
#54
30.82.0
28.830.8
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 16.0
3314
#21
46.80.9
45.946.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
100
#69
19.92.0
17.819.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 6.3
269
#52
26.20.9
25.326.2
Auto0.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0