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Red125
452257.1
552618.8
394041.5
Blue185
518862.7
191866.5
252257.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9317350150200250125185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#17
57.10.8
53.754.5
Auto0.5
Teleop56.6
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1918
#22
66.50.9
56.757.6
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
3940
#53
41.50.8
38.339.0
Auto0.2
Teleop41.3
End0.0
blue by 21.2
5188
#15
62.70.9
59.060.0
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Third
5526
#62
18.80.8
17.618.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 38.4
2522
#19
57.20.9
50.851.7
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0