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Red185
29534.2
175672.3
411845.1
Blue101
313727.8
15547.8
495439.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259650150200185101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.33.0
61.764.7
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 24.5
155
#45
47.80.2
42.842.6
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
4118
#11
45.13.0
33.736.7
Auto1.3
Teleop43.7
End0.0
red by 5.1
4954
#29
39.90.2
34.033.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Third
295
#50
34.23.0
29.832.8
Auto0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
3137
#59
27.80.2
27.227.0
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0