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Red130
383832.5
93225.0
346764.2
Blue150
146634.4
418842.4
317147.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100117050150200250300130150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#23
64.21.2
58.759.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 16.4
3171
#33
47.81.6
48.349.9
Auto0.4
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
3838
#30
32.51.2
27.628.8
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4188
#18
42.41.6
33.334.8
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Third
932
#34
25.01.2
19.921.1
Auto0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1466
#36
34.41.6
37.138.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0