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Red85
484213.5
246870.3
233924.4
Blue138
467861.7
313727.8
172056.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8913505015020025085138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#13
70.30.7
60.559.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop70.5
End0.0
red by 8.6
4678
#10
61.70.3
57.758.0
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
2339
#70
24.40.7
29.228.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 31.7
56.10.3
47.547.8
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Third
4842
#66
13.50.7
9.89.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 14.3
3137
#59
27.80.4
27.127.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0