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Qual 512015 Newton Division
Red102
191866.5
490327.1
549529.6
Blue105
29534.2
19026.1
331033.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107102708090120130140150102105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#22
66.50.4
57.6→57.2
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 32.3
295
#50
34.20.1
32.8→32.8
Auto0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
5495
#61
29.60.4
29.0→28.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3310
#72
33.50.1
42.3→42.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
4903
#44
27.10.4
23.0→22.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 1.0
190
#49
26.10.1
31.0→30.9
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0