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Red124
50279.9
252257.2
215839.2
Blue120
233924.4
118109.2
146634.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72194050100150250300124120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#19
57.21.8
53.154.9
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 52.1
118
#1
109.23.1
116.3113.2
Auto12.8
Teleop96.4
End0.0
Second
2158
#48
39.21.8
31.933.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
red by 4.8
1466
#36
34.43.1
38.635.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
5027
#73
9.91.8
9.211.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 14.5
2339
#70
24.43.1
26.623.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0