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Red156
260764.3
378527.8
19026.1
Blue171
452257.1
198380.7
301537.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9718750150200250300156171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#20
64.32.1
61.863.8
Auto0.2
Teleop64.1
End0.0
blue by 16.4
1983
#12
80.70.4
84.584.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop81.2
End0.0
Second
3785
#58
27.82.1
22.324.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 29.3
4522
#17
57.10.4
56.456.0
Auto0.5
Teleop56.6
End0.0
Third
190
#49
26.12.1
30.933.0
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 11.1
3015
#51
37.20.4
38.438.0
Auto0.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0