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Red142
26926.2
58722.6
1678103.4
Blue122
394041.5
501219.7
346764.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14196050200142122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.40.2
100.6100.7
Auto12.6
Teleop90.8
End0.0
red by 39.2
3467
#23
64.20.8
57.858.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
269
#52
26.20.2
20.720.8
Auto0.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 15.3
3940
#53
41.50.8
35.636.4
Auto0.2
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Third
587
#35
22.60.2
17.617.8
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
5012
#57
19.70.8
13.013.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0