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Red103
54187.7
191866.5
111130.6
Blue206
2540.7
313077.7
13356.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77158050100200250103206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#22
66.50.5
56.456.9
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
blue by 11.2
77.72.7
63.266.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
Second
1111
#39
30.60.5
24.725.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.3
End0.0
blue by 25.8
133
#16
56.42.7
49.752.4
Auto1.0
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
5418
#76
7.70.7
11.812.5
Auto0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 33.0
25
#26
40.72.7
38.341.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0