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Qual 702015 Newton Division
Red132
215839.2
346437.9
174146.6
Blue159
378527.8
467861.7
191866.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108139050200250132159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#31
46.60.8
45.8→46.5
Auto1.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0
blue by 19.9
1918
#22
66.51.3
57.2→58.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
2158
#48
39.20.8
33.7→34.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
blue by 22.5
4678
#10
61.71.3
57.4→58.7
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Third
3464
#32
37.90.8
37.2→38.0
Auto1.3
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 10.1
3785
#58
27.81.3
24.4→25.7
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0