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Red170
54022.0
303949.1
518862.7
Blue108
203934.5
233924.4
13356.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1279350150200170108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
62.72.2
61.363.5
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 6.3
133
#16
56.40.3
50.050.4
Auto1.0
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
49.12.2
44.146.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 14.6
2039
#46
34.50.3
28.028.4
Auto0.2
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
540
#75
22.02.2
21.023.2
Auto0.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2339
#70
24.40.3
23.623.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0