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Qual 842015 Newton Division
Red162
548939.3
146634.4
95570.0
Blue179
303949.1
167157.7
394041.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120138050100200250300162179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#14
70.01.7
62.5→64.2
Auto0.2
Teleop69.9
End0.0
red by 12.3
1671
#25
57.72.0
57.4→59.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
5489
#27
39.31.7
30.5→32.2
Auto0.6
Teleop38.7
End0.0
blue by 9.8
3039
#5
49.12.0
46.3→48.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
1466
#36
34.41.7
34.3→36.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3940
#53
41.52.0
36.4→38.3
Auto0.2
Teleop41.3
End0.0