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Qual 992015 Newton Division
Red162
484116.5
276129.5
467861.7
Blue158
203934.5
29534.2
252257.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85116050100150200250162158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#10
61.73.4
59.2→62.7
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
2522
#19
57.22.1
54.7→56.9
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
2761
#38
29.53.4
23.6→27.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2039
#46
34.52.1
29.9→32.0
Auto0.2
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Third
4841
#68
16.53.4
10.4→13.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 17.7
295
#50
34.22.1
30.9→33.0
Auto0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0