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Semifinal pool 12015 Newton Division
Red211
175672.3
301537.2
19586.2
Blue173
191866.5
353951.2
303949.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197158100250300211173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
86.20.2
87.6→87.8
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 19.7
1918
#22
66.50.0
67.5→67.6
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
1756
#9
72.30.2
73.7→74.0
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 21.0
3539
#43
51.20.0
52.3→52.4
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Third
3015
#51
37.20.2
37.0→37.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 11.9
3039
#5
49.10.0
50.2→50.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0