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Red102
183129.7
13837.6
345131.1
Blue110
447323.5
234254.6
151218.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745802040100120140102110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
37.61.4
27.228.6
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 17.0
54.62.3
38.640.9
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
3451
#13
31.11.4
25.927.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 7.6
4473
#18
23.52.3
14.817.2
Auto1.2
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
1831
#15
29.71.4
21.522.9
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 11.4
1512
#27
18.22.3
9.611.9
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0