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Red50
50129.4
21326.6
526527.8
Blue14
124710.0
151218.2
54227.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6224040801001201401605014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#33
29.40.4
21.020.7
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 11.2
1512
#27
18.20.8
11.911.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
5265
#12
27.80.4
19.018.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 17.8
1247
#38
10.00.8
10.39.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
213
#30
26.60.4
17.817.4
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 18.8
5422
#39
7.80.8
8.17.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0