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Red47
346740.1
332312.5
105824.0
Blue144
81132.9
234254.6
349910.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4976010015020047144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.4
27.527.1
Auto0.2
Teleop39.9
End0.0
blue by 14.5
54.63.5
40.944.4
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
1058
#28
24.00.4
17.617.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 8.9
811
#8
32.93.5
21.825.3
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
3323
#35
12.50.4
10.29.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
3499
#40
10.43.5
11.815.2
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0