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Red157
5853.1
13346.7
50129.4
Blue74
346740.1
21326.6
151218.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10345015020015774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#2
53.13.0
45.948.9
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 13.0
40.10.9
27.128.0
Auto0.2
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
133
#9
46.73.0
30.733.7
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 20.2
213
#30
26.60.9
17.418.3
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
501
#33
29.43.0
20.723.6
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 11.2
1512
#27
18.20.9
11.112.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0