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Red93
454626.8
12637.6
151218.2
Blue91
555614.2
183129.7
124710.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68330204060801001201401609391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#14
37.62.4
31.333.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 7.9
1831
#15
29.72.6
22.124.6
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
4546
#20
26.81.4
21.422.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 12.6
5556
#37
14.22.6
8.911.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
1512
#27
18.21.4
12.013.5
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 8.2
1247
#38
10.02.6
8.511.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0