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Red138
526527.8
456450.7
490632.5
Blue71
50129.4
23818.6
454626.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9951015020013871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.72.1
46.248.4
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 21.3
501
#33
29.40.8
21.422.3
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
4906
#19
32.52.1
27.229.3
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
4546
#20
26.80.8
24.425.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
5265
#12
27.82.1
21.924.0
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 9.2
238
#34
18.60.8
14.715.5
Auto1.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0