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Red54
455516.2
13837.6
54227.8
Blue47
183129.7
130716.8
12637.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498401001502005447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
37.60.1
30.730.6
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Level
126
#14
37.62.5
37.635.1
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
4555
#29
16.20.1
18.118.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 13.5
1831
#15
29.71.7
27.225.5
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
5422
#39
7.80.1
7.87.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 9.0
1307
#36
16.81.7
17.015.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0