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Red109
105824.0
151218.2
492519.9
Blue172
234254.6
88536.7
50917.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40910150200109172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#28
24.03.0
16.019.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 30.6
54.64.3
50.755.0
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
4925
#31
19.93.0
18.121.0
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 16.8
885
#7
36.74.3
24.929.2
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Third
1512
#27
18.23.0
15.618.6
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 0.9
509
#16
17.34.3
10.815.1
Auto1.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0