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Red64
183129.7
172919.0
456450.7
Blue51
345131.1
21326.6
332312.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1015201506451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.71.7
51.850.1
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 19.6
3451
#13
31.10.6
31.230.7
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
1831
#15
29.71.7
25.523.8
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 3.1
213
#30
26.60.6
17.817.3
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
1729
#32
19.01.7
20.218.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 6.5
3323
#35
12.50.6
13.012.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0