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Red107
21326.6
13346.7
50129.4
Blue131
512240.2
393040.4
528623.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84100050150200250300350107131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
46.70.3
42.442.7
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
40.40.5
39.540.0
Auto1.2
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Second
501
#33
29.40.3
25.125.4
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 10.8
40.20.5
39.339.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
213
#30
26.60.3
22.222.5
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 3.4
5286
#25
23.10.5
22.222.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0