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Red106
88536.7
234254.6
151218.2
Blue106
512240.2
393040.4
528623.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107996080120140160180106106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.60.1
54.654.6
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 14.2
40.40.0
40.340.4
Auto1.2
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Second
885
#7
36.70.1
36.836.7
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
40.20.0
40.140.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
1512
#27
18.20.1
18.318.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5286
#25
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0