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Red158
456450.7
5853.1
12637.6
Blue170
21326.6
13346.7
50129.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14980050100200158170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#2
53.10.2
53.954.1
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 6.3
133
#9
46.71.3
43.745.0
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
50.70.2
51.551.7
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 21.3
501
#33
29.41.3
26.427.7
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
126
#14
37.60.2
38.438.6
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 11.0
213
#30
26.61.3
23.524.8
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0