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Red6
46716.2
19019.9
516312.3
Blue6
540014.6
360917.1
197310.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42180608010012014016066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#24
19.92.8
15.712.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 2.8
3609
#11
17.11.4
6.85.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
467
#28
16.22.8
9.56.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
5400
#29
14.61.4
10.89.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5163
#32
12.32.8
14.611.8
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 2.2
1973
#34
10.11.4
4.93.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0