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Red8
172920.1
127712.5
360917.1
Blue5
192212.4
12477.3
237011.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1730040608010012085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.0
9.88.8
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 7.7
1922
#25
12.42.0
11.89.9
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
3609
#11
17.11.0
5.44.4
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 5.8
2370
#27
11.32.0
12.210.3
Auto0.8
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
1277
#31
12.51.0
4.43.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 5.1
1247
#40
7.32.0
4.52.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0