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Red52
183123.1
540014.6
208412.2
Blue59
81120.9
23814.2
360917.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402902060801001205259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.0
18.419.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
811
#19
20.92.3
17.619.8
Auto1.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
5400
#29
14.61.0
12.613.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3609
#11
17.12.3
2.24.5
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
2084
#36
12.21.0
8.79.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.0
238
#26
14.22.3
11.914.2
Auto1.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0