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Red57
46716.2
172920.1
404215.1
Blue47
88521.0
151718.4
130716.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2741060801001201401605747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.12.2
9.011.2
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.0
885
#12
21.00.5
18.819.3
Auto1.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
467
#28
16.22.2
12.414.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 2.2
1517
#14
18.40.5
13.313.8
Auto2.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4042
#20
15.12.2
9.211.4
Auto0.3
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1307
#23
16.10.5
8.59.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0