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Red12
395814.8
178613.5
49875.5
Blue10
9523.7
192212.4
130716.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29370501001501210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#22
14.81.6
12.110.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 8.9
95
#9DQ
23.72.3
13.511.2
Auto1.3
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
1786
#21
13.51.6
10.18.5
Auto1.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1307
#23
16.12.3
9.16.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
4987
#38DQ
5.51.6
8.87.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1922
#25
12.42.3
14.412.2
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0