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Red31
549110.9
19019.9
127712.5
Blue32
15719.4
23814.2
130716.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2541060801001203132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#24
19.90.2
15.916.1
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 0.6
157
#10
19.40.6
16.716.1
Auto0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
1277
#31
12.50.2
7.47.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 3.6
1307
#23
16.10.6
8.37.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
5491
#33
10.90.2
4.95.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
238
#26
14.20.6
15.214.6
Auto1.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0