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Red50
183123.1
151210.6
395814.8
Blue34
46716.2
287616.6
208412.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060801001205034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
22.422.6
Auto0.7
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
2876
#16
16.60.5
17.216.7
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
3958
#22
14.80.2
13.613.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 1.4
467
#28
16.20.5
14.814.3
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
1512
#37
10.60.2
10.310.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2084
#36
12.20.4
9.08.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0