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Red16
128915.4
33236.9
127712.5
Blue44
540014.6
9523.7
147415.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364901001502001644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
#15
15.41.4
18.016.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
95
#9
23.70.3
21.020.7
Auto1.3
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
1277
#31
12.51.4
13.912.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1474
#17
15.00.3
13.813.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3323
#39
6.91.4
7.35.9
Auto0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5400
#29
14.60.3
13.813.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0