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Red18
360917.1
192212.4
19019.9
Blue24
178613.5
356614.6
88521.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403002060801001201401824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#24
19.91.8
16.915.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
885
#12
21.00.7
14.013.3
Auto1.0
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
3609
#11
17.11.8
11.09.2
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
3566
#30
14.60.7
10.59.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
1922
#25
12.41.8
12.210.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1786
#21
13.50.7
8.57.7
Auto1.4
Teleop12.0
End0.0