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Red48
12477.3
151210.6
151718.4
Blue30
49875.5
360917.1
13120.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274601001504830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#14
18.41.6
16.318.0
Auto2.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 1.6
131
#13
20.00.8
20.820.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
1512
#37
10.61.6
8.710.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3609
#11
17.10.8
17.516.7
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
1247
#40
7.31.6
5.77.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
red by 1.9
4987
#38
5.50.8
6.35.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End0.0