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Red103
8832.5
234236.1
151210.6
Blue74
24622.4
183123.1
46716.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8053010015020010374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.4
35.936.3
Auto1.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 13.0
23.10.2
22.322.5
Auto0.7
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
88
#3
32.50.4
32.332.7
Auto1.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 10.1
246
#8
22.40.2
21.621.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
1512
#37
10.60.4
10.410.8
Auto0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.6
467
#28
16.20.2
15.415.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.4
End0.0