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Red64
201648.4
5652.7
71411.9
Blue156
140357.7
167656.5
465319.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013205015020025030064156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
52.70.9
54.253.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop52.9
End0.0
blue by 5.0
57.70.4
57.758.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
Second
48.40.9
49.949.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 8.1
56.50.4
56.556.9
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Third
714
#29
11.90.9
13.412.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 7.1
4653
#17
19.00.4
19.019.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0