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Red103
201648.4
5652.7
71411.9
Blue104
122825.8
331434.8
314224.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11868050100150200103104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
52.70.2
53.152.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 18.0
3314
#11
34.80.4
32.533.0
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
48.40.2
48.848.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 22.7
1228
#16
25.80.4
23.523.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
714
#29
11.90.2
12.212.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3142
#27
24.40.4
22.222.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0