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Red53
447511.2
465319.0
127925.2
Blue91
122825.8
201648.4
25778.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425601001502005391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#12
25.20.4
19.920.2
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 23.3
48.41.7
30.432.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
4653
#17
19.00.4
13.814.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 6.8
1228
#16
25.81.7
18.119.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
4475
#32
11.20.4
12.012.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
2577
#35
8.61.7
7.59.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0