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Red121
137017.9
162628.5
181136.0
Blue142
86928.6
5652.7
436127.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46830100150200121142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.03.4
28.131.4
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
blue by 16.8
56
#3
52.73.4
39.542.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
28.53.4
15.418.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Level
869
#9
28.63.4
22.125.5
Auto1.2
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
1370
#22
17.93.4
9.913.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4361
#10
27.83.4
18.321.7
Auto0.4
Teleop27.5
End0.0