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Red81
71411.9
447511.2
140357.7
Blue24
351523.3
314224.4
122825.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665602040801001201408124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.7
43.544.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 32.0
1228
#16
25.81.8
19.918.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
714
#29
11.90.7
11.111.8
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 12.5
3142
#27
24.41.8
18.016.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4475
#32
11.20.7
12.413.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 12.1
3515
#18
23.31.8
21.920.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0