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Red52
53107.0
130213.1
137017.9
Blue70
465319.0
562418.6
54904.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403102060801001205270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1370
#22
17.90.6
15.215.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4653
#17
19.01.8
17.319.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
1302
#36
13.10.6
17.518.0
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5624
#20
18.63.0
12.215.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
5310
#33
7.00.6
7.98.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 2.7
5490
#38
4.31.8
4.56.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.6
End0.0