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Red122
207013.2
140357.7
8968.0
Blue134
465319.0
10218.8
167656.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47930150200250122134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.73.3
46.549.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 1.2
56.52.3
52.754.9
Auto0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
2070
#31
13.25.5
3.69.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 5.8
4653
#17
19.02.3
19.121.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
896
#37
8.05.5
5.511.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 10.8
102
#23
18.82.3
17.019.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.5
End0.0