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Red114
403510.8
140357.7
22420.8
Blue58
127925.2
130213.1
351523.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686020408010012011458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.72.3
49.852.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop57.7
End0.0
red by 32.6
1279
#12
25.20.0
24.624.6
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
224
#13
20.82.3
10.512.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3515
#18
23.30.0
23.123.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4035
#28
10.82.3
8.710.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1302
#36
13.10.0
15.715.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0