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Red42
428126.0
167214.9
8968.0
Blue10
255413.8
53107.0
465319.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414002060804210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4281
#19
26.00.1
18.618.7
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 7.0
4653
#17
19.01.7
21.419.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
1672
#30
14.90.1
13.113.2
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 1.1
2554
#26
13.81.7
12.310.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
896
#37
8.00.2
8.38.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 1.0
5310
#33
7.01.7
10.28.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.2
End0.0