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Red86
255413.8
61319.1
29336.9
Blue88
122825.8
403510.8
127925.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655002040801001201408688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#8
36.91.1
33.334.4
Auto0.0
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 11.1
1228
#16
25.81.7
18.620.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
613
#25
19.11.1
20.721.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 6.1
1279
#12
25.21.7
24.626.3
Auto0.5
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
2554
#26
13.81.1
10.611.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
4035
#28
10.81.7
10.912.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0