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Red162
181136.0
201648.4
351523.3
Blue79
137017.9
7541.2
255413.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006305015020016279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.43.2
43.546.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 7.3
75
#5
41.20.4
39.439.8
Auto0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
36.03.2
31.434.7
Auto0.2
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 18.1
1370
#22
17.90.4
17.117.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3515
#18
23.33.2
22.525.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
2554
#26
13.80.4
14.214.6
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0