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Red55
447511.2
22233.1
22420.8
Blue56
331434.8
255413.8
71411.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454410203050607080905556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#14
33.10.5
29.029.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3314
#11
34.80.4
30.130.6
Auto0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
224
#13
20.80.5
4.65.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
2554
#26
13.80.4
6.36.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
4475
#32
11.20.5
11.512.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
714
#29
11.90.5
10.611.1
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0